More bank and non-bank capital is
becoming available for lending secured by lower quality assets, according to
new research by DTZ.
It says lenders in the UK are
increasingly expected to view older or lower grade property assets more
favourably which will make it easier to refinance legacy loans as well as
trigger new injections of capital into the market.
This lower absolute gap on
secondary properties should allow more bank and non-bank lenders to move into
lending secured by lower quality properties, as the downside risk for this
smaller stock of buildings is not significantly different.
The research shows that the debt
funding gap – the amount of capital available for refinancing compared to
maturities – is £1bn over the remainder of 2013 and 2014 for “Grade C”
property, £9.8bn for “Grade B” and £3.6bn for “Grade A”. This is in part due to
the average price of Grade A property compared to Grade C property.
However, even on a relative
basis, taking a property worth £100m in 2006, the refinancing gap for a Grade C
asset would be £36m compared to £38m for a Grade A property.
Hans Vrensen, global head of
research at DTZ, said:
“This UK analysis confirms our
earlier held views that lower quality assets are not necessarily in a worse
position than higher quality assets, due their legacy debt positions.
“In addition, we suspect that the
same fundamentals will hold true across other European markets. We expect that
this will further assist market participants to put risk in its proper
perspective and become more active in refinancing legacy loans secured by lower
quality assets. As long as pricing remains sufficiently attractive, we
anticipate that a number of lenders will be moving into the Grade C and B
segments.”